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Fixed Matches Winning Team

Fixed Matches Winning Team

Fixed Matches Winning Team

Fixed Matches Winning Team

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Mount Pleasant – Cavalier  Pick: 1 (Home)  Odd: 1.85 FT: 2:1

The emergence of betting exchanges like Betfair shook the world of online sports betting like nothing before. For the first time ever, players were able to step into the shoes of bookmakers and wager against one another. In many ways, exchange betting is the truest test of your knowledge of football and football predictions. As such, lay betting is not for beginners or the faint of heart. Still, we’re left with an important question.

How do I win with Lay betting? If there was an easy answer, anyone would be able to do it. Still, there are lay betting strategies that can set you on the right path.

What is Lay Betting?

First, we need to answer a very basic question – what is a betting exchange?

Sites like Betfair are not your typical online sportsbook. Instead, they are sports betting platforms that connect players and allow them to wager against each other. As you might imagine, there are two sides to this. First, one player makes a betting offer – “lays” the bet and offers the odds. Other players then browse these offers and accept the ones they find attractive. This is often called “backing”.

Today, we’re interested in the former – the practice of laying bets or lay betting. The option to set the odds has opened up the door to many new soccer betting strategies. For starters, you can get a better price on exchanges than most regular fixed-odds sportsbooks. That makes laying and backing football bets worthwhile to just about anyone. However, there are specific strategies for lay betting that can help you understand just why exchanges have become so popular among professional punters.

Lay Betting Arbitrage

Here’s a great way to illustrate how to use lay betting to your advantage. If you don’t know what is betting arbitrage, we suggest you familiarize yourself with the concept first. Essentially, it’s the practice of finding guaranteed profits by exploiting different odds for the same wager across multiple sportsbooks.

Here’s a simple example. Imagine that a bookie is offering 2.10 odds on an Over 2.5 Goals bet. Now imagine a different sportsbook is offering 2.10 odds on an Under 2.5 Goals bet for the same match. Although rarely, this sort of thing happens because different bookies calculate probabilities differently. This situation would guarantee a profit for you – no matter the outcome, you’ll win thanks to the odds difference.

However, most top online sportsbooks frown on betting arbitrage and consider it a bannable offense. Betting exchanges don’t, though, because it doesn’t cut into their profits. Simply find opportunities where you can lay the bet at shorter odds than a different fixed-odds bookie is offering. Lay the bet at shorter odds, and wager at the sportsbook with longer ones. If you win the bet with the bookie’s offer, you’ll have a tidy profit because your lay bet lost less than you won. Otherwise, your lay bet wins. If done correctly, you’ll at least prevent any losses.

This doesn’t happen often but is a guaranteed way to profit with lay betting. The best way to do so is by relying on odds drifting. Betting odds change over time, as you probably know. You simply want to be able to accept the sportsbook’s offer before they can update them to fit the odds drift.

Team News and Bet Trading

This brings us to other important lay betting tips – staying informed. Like we mentioned, exchanges put your football knowledge to the test. The strategy we just described relying on you being more informed about odds drift than bookmakers. This is just as difficult as it sounds, so be patient.

Odds drifting usually has some sort of reason for it. For example, if a team’s main playmaker is suddenly injured or unavailable, they’ll have a harder time winning. This affects the odds in many ways – for instance, any odds on To Win bets will be longer. If you react quickly, you can cash out the wager early.

This is just one example of how keeping up with football team news is essential for soccer lay bet strategy.

Laying Draw Bets

We’ll round this lay betting guide with a simple, yet effective and beginner-friendly strategy. It relies on the favorite lay betting market of a lot of bettors – the draw bet. Essentially, this bet means that the one laying will win if the match ends in anything except a draw. Granted, the odds for such markets are quite short. However, keeping up with football matches can allow you to make a tidy profit with not a lot of risk.

Just wait for any team to score the first goal and quickly cash out. The odds will be considerably higher than your initial lay because the chances of the match ending in a draw drop considerably as soon as one team takes the lead. Considering only about 8% of all professional football matches end in 0:0, the chances of a goal are pretty good. By cashing out early, you’re making sure the score won’t equalize down the line.

Laying the Draw can be a great introduction to basic lay betting strategies. If nothing else, you’ll realize why timing and keeping up with news is essential to laying bets.





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BW Linz – Horn  Pick: Home Win (1)  Odd: 1.30 FT: 0:1
Darmstadt – Magdeburg  Pick: Home Win (1)  Odd: 1.50 FT: 1:0
Pisa – Spal  Pick Home Win (1)  Odd: 1.55 FT: 1:2


Soccer player transfers add an interesting metagame angle to football that many fans follow closely. Bud did you know you can also bet on player transfers? Most top bookmakers these days allow punters to predict future lineups of clubs. In fact, multiple options are available to those who closely follow football news and rumors. You can wager on where free agents will end up, what will happen during transfer windows, and more.

However, soccer transfer betting strategy is vastly different from most other football betting markets. Let’s take a look at how betting on transfers works.

Next Club After Transfer Window Betting Market

Let’s start with the most common form of this type of wager. To be frank, different bookies have different names for this market, but it usually looks something like this – “Lionel Messi’s Next Club After Transfer Window.”

This soccer transfer bet then lists several prospective clubs, and each has different player transfer odds. As with all markets, the bookmaker sets the odds based on the perceived probability of the outcome. Of course, the possibility that the player will stay with the current club is always an option. Actually, it’s often the safest option with the shortest odds – sometimes so short the bookie won’t even offer the option.

One interesting note about this type of bet is that you should always compare prices with multiple sportsbooks. Why? Well, traditional methods of setting betting odds via statistical analysis aren’t fully applicable. However, transfers do follow certain patterns that experts can predict. However, opinions can disagree by a huge margin. If you compare player transfer betting odds, you’ll be sure you’re getting the best price for your wager.

Additionally, this is good news for punters who are looking for betting value or even arbitrage betting. Differences in prices mean that there’s room for bookie mistakes.

On the downside, it also means that player transfer special betting limits are usually pretty low. There are multiple reasons for this, though. For instance, some may have inside knowledge about future transfers that would allow them to easily win such bets. This applies to all wagers of this type, too, so keep it in mind while reading this transfer special betting guide.

Bet on Player’s Next Permanent Club

This type of wager can truly be described as a niche category, but it can be especially interesting. High-profile players occasionally end up as free agents due to various reasons. Often it’s as simple as a contract ending, though, without a clear next step for said player.

Interestingly, the wagering options here can also be quite varied. For example, you can predict the next club a player will join, or broaden your wager by predicting the league. For instance, “Any English Premier League Club is a perfectly viable option. Of course, broadening your bet also means you’ll be getting shorter odds.

On one hand, this type of bet is relatively rare because high-profile players rarely end up as free agents. As such, betting on a player’s next permanent club is not always available – and when it is, the options are scarce. However, unlike the Next Club After Transfer Window bet, it is not limited to the pre-season transfer period.

To Stay at Current Club Betting Market

If you’re a complete beginner to transfer betting, this is likely the best option to start with. This market is a simple two-way bet which simply asks the question – will a player keep playing for their current club or not?

It’s fairly self-explanatory, and it’s also much easier to predict than the previous options. First of all, it’s a two-way bet, which means it has a 50% chance of success right off the bat. Secondly, it can be easier to tell if a player is happy with their current side or not. Of course, your options are even more limited, and the odds tend to be quite short.

Player Transfer Betting Tips

Next up is a simple strategy consideration. How to even approach player transfer betting markets?

  • We’ve already mentioned this, but we’ll repeat for emphasis: compare odds with different bookmakers. The value you can get simply from using multiple sportsbooks can be quite huge.
  • Keep a very close eye on news, rumors, and other relevant information. Also, know which source to trust. Some info out there regarding transfer news is pure speculation or educated guesswork at best.
  • Keep a close eye on transfer betting odds drifting. A single headline can often cause wild odds changes, so be careful with your wagers.
  • Understand how and why football club lineups are made. Understanding teams and players will make it easier to predict moves on the transfer market. Ask yourself – what does this team’s roster need? Why? Which players are best qualified to fill the position?
  • As funny as this sounds, try your luck with fantasy football. This is a great way to practice making team compositions and why certain clubs may want certain players.
  • Keep in mind that bookies only allow singles with player transfer betting markets. You can’t combine them into multiples or accumulators.